A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Extensions, with Matias Cattaneo and Nicolás Idrobo.
Cambridge University Press, 2024.
Publications
You can also find my articles on my Google Scholar profile.
Monographs
A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Foundations, with Matias Cattaneo and Nicolás Idrobo.
Cambridge University Press, 2020.
Journal Articles
Uncertainty Quantification in Synthetic Controls with Staggered Treatment Adoption, with Matias Cattaneo, Yingjie Feng and Filippo Palomba.
Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.
Charismatic Leaders and Democratic Backsliding, with James Hollyer and Marko Klašnja.
Journal of Politics, forthcoming.
Randomization Inference for Before-and-After Studies with Multiple Units: An Application to a Criminal Procedure Reform in Uruguay, with Matias Cattaneo and Carlos Díaz.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 189(4): 2127-2146, 2026.
Estimation and Inference in Boundary Discontinuity Designs: Distance-Based Methods, with Matias Cattaneo and Rae Yu.
Journal of Econometrics, 256 (Part A): 106266, 2026.
Real-World Effectiveness of Early Language Intervention: Evidence from a Nationwide Rollout of the Nuffield Early Language Intervention in England, with Gillian West, Sarah Hearne, Caroline Korell, Mihaela Duta and Charles Hulme.
American Journal of Speech-Language Pathology, 35(3): 923-936, 2026.
A Guide to Regression Discontinuity Designs in Medical Applications, with Matias Cattaneo and Luke Keele.
Statistics in Medicine, 42(24): 4484-4513, 2023.
Parties as Disciplinarians: Charisma and Commitment Problems in Programmatic Campaigning, with James Hollyer and Marko Klašnja.
American Journal of Political Science, 66(1): 75-92, 2022.
Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo.
Annual Review of Economics, 14: 821-851, 2022.
Extrapolating Treatment Effects in Multi-Cutoff Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo, Luke Keele and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116(536): 1941-1952, 2021.
Prediction Intervals for Synthetic Control Methods, with Matias Cattaneo and Yingjie Feng.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116(536): 1865-1880, 2021.
Regression Discontinuity Designs Using Covariates, with Sebastian Calonico, Matias Cattaneo and Max Farrell.
Review of Economics and Statistics, 101(3): 442-451, 2019.
Geographic Natural Experiments with Interference: The Effect of All-Mail Voting on Turnout in Colorado, with Luke Keele.
CESifo Economic Studies, 64(2): 127-149, 2018.
Legislative Behaviour Absent Re-Election Incentives: Findings from a Natural Experiment in the Arkansas Senate, with Andrew Feher.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 181(2): 351-378, 2018.
Paper | Appendix | Replication
Differential Registration Bias in Voter File Data: A Sensitivity Analysis Approach, with Brendan Nyhan and Christopher Skovron.
American Journal of Political Science, 61(3): 744-760, 2017.
The Incumbency Curse: Weak Parties, Term Limits, and Unfulfilled Accountability, with Marko Klašnja.
American Political Science Review, 111(1): 129-148, 2017.
Paper | Appendix | Replication
Comparing Inference Approaches for RD Designs: A Reexamination of the Effect of Head Start on Child Mortality, with Matias Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 36(3): 643-681, 2017.
Drawing Your Senator From a Jar: Term Length and Legislative Behavior.
Political Science Research and Methods, 4(2): 293-316, 2016.
Paper | Appendix | Replication
Understanding Regression Discontinuity Designs as Observational Studies, with Jasjeet Sekhon.
Observational Studies, 2: 174-182, 2016.
Natural Experiments Based on Geography, with Luke Keele.
Political Science Research and Methods, 4(1): 65-95, 2016.
Cause or Effect? Turnout in Hispanic Majority-Minority Districts, with John Henderson and Jasjeet Sekhon.
Political Analysis, 24(3): 404-412, 2016.
Interpreting Regression Discontinuity Designs with Multiple Cutoffs, with Matias Cattaneo, Luke Keele and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Journal of Politics, 78(4): 1229-1248, 2016.
Can Big Data Solve the Fundamental Problem of Causal Inference?.
PS: Political Science & Politics, 48(1): 75-79, 2015.
Enhancing a Geographic Regression Discontinuity Design Through Matching to Estimate the Effect of Ballot Initiatives on Voter Turnout, with Luke Keele and José Zubizarreta.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 178(1): 223-239, 2015.
Geographic Boundaries as Regression Discontinuities, with Luke Keele.
Political Analysis, 23(1): 127-155, 2015.
Using Regression Discontinuity to Uncover the Personal Incumbency Advantage, with Robert Erikson.
Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 10(1): 101-119, 2015.
Randomization Inference in the Regression Discontinuity Design: An Application to Party Advantages in the U.S. Senate, with Matias Cattaneo and Brigham Frandsen.
Journal of Causal Inference, 3(1): 1-24, 2015.
Optimal Data-Driven Regression Discontinuity Plots, with Sebastian Calonico and Matias Cattaneo.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 110(512): 1753-1769, 2015.
Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression-Discontinuity Designs, with Sebastian Calonico and Matias Cattaneo.
Econometrica, 82(6): 2295-2326, 2014.
When Natural Experiments Are Neither Natural Nor Experiments, with Jasjeet Sekhon.
American Political Science Review, 106(1): 35-57, 2012.
Housing, Health, and Happiness, with Matias Cattaneo, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Sebastian Martinez.
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 1(1): 75-105, 2009.
Changes in the Panamanian Wage Structure: A Quantile Regression Analysis, with Sebastian Galiani.
Economica, 51(1): 3-26, 2005.
Software Articles
rd2d: Causal Inference in Boundary Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo and Rae Yu.
Working paper, 2026.
rdhte: Conditional Average Treatment Effects in RD Designs, with Sebastian Calonico, Matias Cattaneo, Max Farrell and Filippo Palomba.
Working paper, 2025.
scpi: Uncertainty Quantification for Synthetic Control Methods, with Matias Cattaneo, Yingjie Feng and Filippo Palomba.
Journal of Statistical Software, 113(1): 1-38, 2025.
Analysis of Regression Discontinuity Designs with Multiple Cutoffs or Multiple Scores, with Matias Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Stata Journal, 20(4): 866-891, 2020.
Power Calculations for Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Stata Journal, 19(1): 210-245, 2019.
rdrobust: Software for Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Sebastian Calonico, Matias Cattaneo and Max Farrell.
Stata Journal, 17(2): 372-404, 2017.
Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs under Local Randomization, with Matias Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Stata Journal, 16(2): 331-367, 2016.
rdrobust: An R Package for Robust Nonparametric Inference in Regression-Discontinuity Designs, with Sebastian Calonico and Matias Cattaneo.
R Journal, 7(1): 38-51, 2015.
Robust Data-Driven Inference in the Regression-Discontinuity Design, with Sebastian Calonico and Matias Cattaneo.
Stata Journal, 14(4): 909-946, 2014.
Chapters and Others
Boundary Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Practice, with Matias Cattaneo and Rae Yu.
Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Thirteenth World Congress, Cambridge University Press, Vol. 1, Ch. 2, to appear, 2026.
Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo.
Encyclopedia of Experimental Social Science, forthcoming.
Comment: Protocols for Observational Studies: An Application to Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo.
Statistical Science, 39(4): 560-565, 2024.
Public Opinion Alone Won’t Save Democracy, with Brendan Nyhan.
Science, 386(6719): 268-270, 2024.
Covariate Adjustment in Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Matias Cattaneo and Luke Keele.
Handbook of Matching and Weighting Adjustments for Causal Inference, Ch. 8, pp. 153-168, 2023.
Advances in Experimental Political Science, Ch. 6, pp. 103-129, 2021.
The Regression Discontinuity Design, with Matias Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations, Ch. 44, pp. 835-857, 2020.
On Interpreting the Regression Discontinuity Design as a Local Experiment, with Jasjeet Sekhon.
Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications (Advances in Econometrics, Volume 38), M. D. Cattaneo and J. C. Escanciano, editors, 1-28. Emerald Publishing Limited, 2017.
An Overview of Geographically Discontinuous Treatment Assignments With an Application to Children’s Health Insurance, with Luke Keele, Scott Lorch, Molly Passarella and Dylan Small.
Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications (Advances in Econometrics, Volume 38), M. D. Cattaneo and J. C. Escanciano, editors, 147-194. Emerald Publishing Limited, 2017.
Newsletter of the APSA Experimental Section, 2012.
Encyclopedia of Research Design, SAGE Publications, 2010.